Analytics
Yes is at 23.5%, down 4 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 27.5% on 3 Nov 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 4 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 8.5% on 4 Nov 2026.
Natus Vincere ranks second of the 6 outcomes in “IEM Beijing 2026: Winner”. MOUZ leads at 39.5%; FURIA is at 19%.
$8.28K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.45K since listing. The order book holds $32.95K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 60 trades, $1.51K bought Yes and $2.61K bought No; the largest was a $1.74K buy of No at 87.0¢.
The largest Yes position is leonfish with 2.5K shares; the largest No position is DumplingBMF with 5K. Ten wallets hold 85.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 10 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 12:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 27.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 23.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DumplingBMF | No | 5K |
| leonfish | Yes | 2.55K |
| Confused-Anywhere | Yes | 2.51K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of IEM Beijing 2026, currently scheduled for November 2, 2026 to November 8, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after December 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8245/iem-beijing-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iem-beijing-2026-winner-1793635200000
| probabilityme |
| No |
| 1.72K |
| pokoleno | No | 999.64 |
| Demanding-Petition-Beancurd | Yes | 958.33 |
| Violet Falcon AF43 | Yes | 833.33 |
| KRIS93 | Yes | 609 |
| BodyaComUa | No | 550 |
| Komo431 | No | 427 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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