Analytics
Yes is at 52%, up 10 points from 42% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 62% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 33% on 4 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 62% on 5 Nov 2026.
Team Spirit is the favourite of the 8 outcomes in “1win Essence III: Winner”, ahead of PARIVISION at 30%.
$55.48 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.58K since listing. The order book holds $334.4, with a 14.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 47 trades, $367.97 bought Yes and $146.91 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dorgrovich with 284 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 114. Ten wallets hold 90.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 20 Nov 2026, 15 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 12:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 42.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 52.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dorgrovich | Yes | 283.89 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 113.93 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 108.55 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of 1win Essence III, currently scheduled for November 12 to November 18, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, BASED Esports / 1win Essence; however, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/dota2/1win_Essence/3) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1win-essence-iii-winner
| WORLDCUP8 | Yes | 41.67 |
| Carabao | No | 39.38 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 39 |
| tiromi | No | 23 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 20.32 |
| IUSEBOT | No | 20 |
| hfv | No | 19.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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