Analytics
Yes is at 30%, down 11 points from 41% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 41% on 3 Nov 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 4 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 18.5% on 4 Nov 2026.
PARIVISION ranks second of the 8 outcomes in “1win Essence III: Winner”. Team Spirit leads at 52%; 1w Team is at 11%.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $714.2 since listing. The order book holds $727.63, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is predictdogepepewif with 40 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 114.
Trading closes on 20 Nov 2026, 15 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 12:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 41.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 30.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 113.93 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 58.9 |
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 40 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of 1win Essence III, currently scheduled for November 12 to November 18, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, BASED Esports / 1win Essence; however, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/dota2/1win_Essence/3) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1win-essence-iii-winner
| Haradwaith | Yes | 39 |
| 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | Yes | 26 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| helicobite | Yes | 20.33 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| maomao228 | Yes | 20 |
| AllyouneedisClaude | No | 19.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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