Latest trade
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:19 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 20 settled positions.
kefirsky is down $4.54K on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:19 PM UTC.
$190.33 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 23 markets; 60.0% were buys. They run from Nov 5, 2024 UTC to Oct 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.897 | $1.11K | -$15.25 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.670 | $70.35 | 1d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 08:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 20:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 20:19 UTC
polymarket positions
21 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 08:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $716.98 and losing ones cost $5.26K across 20 settled positions. 30% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $339.54 on “Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $2.5K on “Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 26 Oct 2026. It has traded 27 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.81K across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 800 |
| $0.940 |
| $732 |
| -$20 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | Yes | 550 | $0.940 | $534.6 | +$17.6 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.880 | $249 | -$15 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 769.23 | $0.130 | $88.46 | -$11.54 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | Yes | 105 | $0.670 | $77.18 | +$6.83 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 71.98 | $0.425 | $24.83 | -$5.74 |
| buy |
| 800 |
| $0.940 |
| $752 |
| 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.940 | $517 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.880 | $264 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.920 | $1.01K | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 54.16 | $0.005 | $0.27 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 621.09 | $0.007 | $4.56 | 3d ago |
 US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes | sell | 1.23K | $0.730 | $897.9 | 3d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.770 | $924 | 3d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.730 | $109.5 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 675.25 | $0.090 | $60.77 | 4d ago |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.730 | $897.9 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | sell | 165.92 | $0.972 | $161.27 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | sell | 206.23 | $0.973 | $200.67 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | sell | 702.85 | $0.975 | $685.33 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.980 | $24.5 | 4d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.98 | $0.440 | $27.27 | 7d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.928 | $1.02K | 7d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.690 | $828 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | 7d ago |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.830 | $1.22K | Apr 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 499.9 | $0.820 | $409.92 | Apr 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | sell | 2K | $0.680 | $1.36K | Mar 8, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | sell | 1.62K | $0.171 | $277.27 | Feb 24, 2025 UTC |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 1.62K | $0.270 | $437.08 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 633.44 | $0.690 | $437.07 | Feb 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.628 | $795.62 | Feb 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will $Trump FDV be $30-35b on Feb 1?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.072 | $43.01 | Jan 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada in the first 100 days?No | sell | 91 | $0.110 | $10.01 | Jan 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada in the first 100 days?No | sell | 83 | $0.120 | $9.96 | Jan 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada in the first 100 days?No | sell | 51 | $0.200 | $10.2 | Jan 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?No | sell | 460.2 | $0.999 | $459.74 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?No | buy | 460.2 | $0.950 | $437.19 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Powell say "growth" 8 or more times during January press conference?No | buy | 257.92 | $0.698 | $180 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will $Trump FDV be $30-35b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.179 | $107.4 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada in the first 100 days?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada in the first 100 days?No | buy | 220 | $0.200 | $44 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during January press conference?Yes | sell | 113.74 | $0.400 | $45.5 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 113.74 | $0.400 | $45.5 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 1K | $0.580 | $580 | Jan 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 1K | $0.650 | $650 | Jan 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 535.48 | $0.709 | $379.66 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 578.82 | $0.820 | $474.63 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 416.67 | $0.820 | $341.67 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 4.51 | $0.820 | $3.7 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 118.01 | $0.822 | $97 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 238.92 | $0.388 | $92.7 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.388 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5.92 | $0.388 | $2.3 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.