Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 15% on 30 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 19.5% on 6 Apr 2025 and the low 0.4% on 6 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 15% on 1 Mar 2025. $3.09M traded over the market's life.
367 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 346 points · 30 Dec 2024 – 10 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2024 | 15.0% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 781.06K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 144.47K |
| 0xPolymath | Yes | 123.99K |
This is a market group over how many Fed rate cuts will happen in 2025.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| rivermarkets | Yes | 87.79K |
| scoobydoolover | Yes | 48.44K |
| Seb90 | Yes | 26.42K |
| LowValue | Yes | 25.09K |
| ngv0n4g20ndn | Yes | 13.36K |
| W1nkey | Yes | 10.2K |
| DropSet | Yes | 8.88K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
