Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.110 | $815 | +$705 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.500 | $500 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 250 |
| $0.350 |
| $131.25 |
| +$43.75 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 200 | $0.570 | $69 | -$45 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 150 | $0.470 | $53.25 | -$17.25 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.051 | $39.25 | +$13.75 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 50 | $0.310 | $25.25 | +$9.75 |
 Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4K | $0.015 | $14 | -$46 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.11K | $0.012 | $7.77 | -$29.54 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50 | $0.050 | $4.98 | +$2.48 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 300 | $0.027 | $2.85 | -$5.25 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.780 |
| $234 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 310 | $0.990 | $306.9 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.110 | $220 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.006 | $60 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.007 | $70 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.008 | $80 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.5K | $0.012 | $41.99 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 310 | $0.400 | $124 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 3K | $0.060 | $180 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 2K | $0.105 | $209.51 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 2K | $0.110 | $220 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 31?No | sell | 4.06K | $0.999 | $4.06K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 640.12 | $0.021 | $13.53 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31?No | sell | 120 | $0.982 | $117.84 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31?No | buy | 5.11K | $0.979 | $5K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | sell | 10.15K | $0.002 | $20.3 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | sell | 10.15K | $0.004 | $40.6 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.016 | $94.68 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 2.3K | $0.016 | $35.74 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 8K | $0.121 | $971.03 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 6K | $0.130 | $780 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.130 | $650 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.130 | $651.5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 5K | $0.160 | $799.05 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 140.12 | $0.034 | $4.82 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 8K | $0.160 | $1.28K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.150 | $750 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.150 | $900 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.150 | $900 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.150 | $600 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.150 | $600 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 400 | $0.400 | $160 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.350 | $87.5 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.051 | $2.04 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.190 | $28.5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?Yes | buy | 109.23 | $0.110 | $12.02 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.99K | $0.004 | $60.39 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 200 | $0.106 | $21.2 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 300 | $0.098 | $29.4 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 700 | $0.129 | $90.3 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 5K | $0.990 | $4.95K | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 11K | $0.994 | $10.93K | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5K | $0.991 | $4.96K | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | sell | 2K | $0.990 | $1.98K | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | sell | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | sell | 200 | $0.990 | $198 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.100 | $1K | Sep 29, 2025 |