Analytics
rivermarkets is down $42.4K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-27 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 19K | $0.373 | $636.44 | -$6.44K |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$196.48K | $661K | 23,233 | 232 | 46.1% | $25.84K |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-27 00:58 UTC
Polymarket public position response
9 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 01:45 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 01:45 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-27 00:58 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $212.57K and losing ones cost $17.43K across the latest 50 settled positions. 90% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $30.61K on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $12.9K on “Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?” (Yes).
It has traded 278 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($661K). Its open positions are worth $858.41 across 9 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 117.68 |
| $0.740 |
| $117.27 |
| +$30.18 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 204.8 | $0.079 | $78.44 | +$62.32 |
 Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 430 | $0.150 | $18.71 | -$45.8 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 165.6 | $0.043 | $4.31 | -$2.89 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 166 | $0.125 | $2.24 | -$18.51 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 0.81 | $0.706 | $0.8 | +$0.23 |
 Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | Yes | 10 | $0.023 | $0.2 | -$0.03 |
 Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.005 | $0.01 | -$0.07 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
