Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 7 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 175 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2024 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 59.5% on 7 Nov 2024 and the lowest 1.9% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 30% on 8 Nov 2024. $23.32M traded over the market's life.
741 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 175 points, 7 Nov 2024 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 59.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 1.9% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point between January 20, 2025, ET and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-create-a-national-bitcoin-reserve-in-his-first-100-days
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Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
