Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 660 | $0.650 | $405.9 | -$23.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.68 | $0.680 | $5.22 | 8h ago |
 |
| No |
| 220 |
| $0.850 |
| $178.2 |
| -$8.8 |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | No | 220 | $0.810 | $169.4 | -$8.8 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 220 | $0.780 | $161.7 | -$9.9 |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? | No | 204.55 | $0.820 | $161.59 | -$6.14 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 220 | $0.780 | $159.5 | -$12.1 |
 Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes? | No | 220.01 | $0.730 | $146.31 | -$14.3 |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 220 | $0.740 | $144.1 | -$18.7 |
 Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week? | Yes | 220 | $0.800 | $141.9 | -$34.1 |
 Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 220 | $0.700 | $141.9 | -$12.1 |
 Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | No | 220 | $0.770 | $138.6 | -$30.8 |
 Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 187 | $0.750 | $135.58 | -$4.68 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 220 | $0.720 | $130.9 | -$27.5 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | No | 220 | $0.660 | $126.5 | -$18.7 |
 Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 170 | $0.770 | $122.4 | -$8.5 |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | No | 143.23 | $0.700 | $96.68 | -$3.58 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 100.01 | $0.860 | $81.51 | -$4.5 |
| Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes? | No | 145 | $0.570 | $81.2 | -$1.45 |
 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? | No | 117.19 | $0.710 | $80.86 | -$2.34 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | Yes | 220 | $0.490 | $72.6 | -$35.2 |
 Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | No | 94.9 | $0.740 | $67.85 | -$2.37 |
 Will Sport Boys be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1? | Yes | 220 | $0.750 | $37.4 | -$127.6 |
 Will Otaviano Pivetta win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election? | No | 24.88 | $0.590 | $12.69 | -$1.99 |
| sell |
| 220 |
| $0.570 |
| $125.4 |
| 8h ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.16 | $0.680 | $11.67 | 8h ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 42.92 | $0.680 | $29.19 | 8h ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.01 | $0.690 | $6.22 | 8h ago |
| Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?No | sell | 70.25 | $0.730 | $51.28 | 9h ago |
| Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?No | sell | 54.83 | $0.740 | $40.57 | 9h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | sell | 77.03 | $0.800 | $61.62 | 9h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 102.46 | $0.661 | $67.73 | 9h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.95 | $0.660 | $13.17 | 9h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.45 | $0.661 | $8.23 | 9h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100.82 | $0.659 | $66.44 | 9h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.9 | $0.660 | $16.43 | 9h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.99 | $0.659 | $26.35 | 9h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | 9h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.659 | $13.17 | 9h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.99 | $0.659 | $26.35 | 9h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.99 | $0.659 | $26.35 | 10h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30.96 | $0.659 | $20.4 | 11h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 59 | $0.659 | $38.88 | 11h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.47 | $0.660 | $8.23 | 11h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25.98 | $0.660 | $17.15 | 11h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.51 | $0.659 | $3.63 | 12h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.49 | $0.659 | $4.94 | 12h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.659 | $4.61 | 12h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.99 | $0.659 | $23.72 | 12h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 119.07 | $0.667 | $79.42 | 12h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.660 | $42.24 | 12h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.661 | $6.61 | 12h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.672 | $51.74 | 12h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.99 | $0.673 | $10.09 | 12h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?No | sell | 220 | $0.820 | $180.4 | 13h ago |
| Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 15h ago |
| Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 15h ago |
 Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?No | sell | 36.02 | $0.859 | $30.94 | 16h ago |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.864 | $43.2 | 16h ago |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?No | sell | 14.98 | $0.859 | $12.87 | 16h ago |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 117.86 | $0.570 | $67.18 | 17h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | 18h ago |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.51 | $0.860 | $45.16 | 23h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.02 | $0.860 | $9.48 | 23h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 23h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 89.17 | $0.860 | $76.69 | 23h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | sell | 150 | $0.500 | $75 | 23h ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?No | sell | 704 | $0.740 | $520.96 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026?No | sell | 53.47 | $0.870 | $46.52 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.880 | $13.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?No | sell | 53.75 | $0.860 | $46.23 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?No | sell | 166.25 | $0.860 | $142.98 | 1d ago |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?No | sell | 24.68 | $0.700 | $17.28 | 1d ago |