
Yes is at 75.5%, up 45 points from 30.5% when the market opened on 14 May 2026.
Across the 166 daily closes on record from 14 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 92.5% on 26 May 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 14 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 77.5%; a month before, 86%. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 74.5% on 15 May 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Who will die in The Witcher: Season 5?”.
$1.39K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $451.1, with a 31.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 23 trades, $496.55 bought Yes and $52.22 bought No.
The largest Yes position is barcaa with 842 shares; the largest No position is Nadmi with 500.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 166 points, 14 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | 30.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 75.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| barcaa | Yes | 842 |
| Nadmi | No | 500 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 117.13 |
Season 5 of The Witcher is expected to air on Netflix in late 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "The Witcher: Season 5". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "The Witcher: Season 5" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead before "The Witcher: Season 5" begins will not count toward this market’s resolution. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "The Witcher: Season 5" will qualify. Only events depicted in official "The Witcher: Season 5" episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the final episode of "The Witcher: Season 5" is released.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-die-in-the-witcher-season-5
| BSS37 |
| No |
| 99.45 |
| IvoM8 | No | 71.43 |
| Perypery | No | 36.42 |
| VonVonagh | No | 23.33 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 10 |
| flexer78 | No | 2.08 |
| 52adsa | No | 1.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page