
Yes is at 50%, up 21 points from 29% when the market opened on 14 May 2026.
The high was 55% on 29 Sep 2026 and the low 29% on 14 May 2026. A week ago Yes was at 50%; a month ago, 51%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 35% on 24 May 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Who will die in The Witcher: Season 5?”.
$552.83 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.17, with a 96.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is niglette with 1 shares; the largest No position is CashReviver with 1.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 16, 4:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 157 points, 14 May 2026 – 16 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | 29.0% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| niglette | Yes | 1.11 |
| CashReviver | No | 1.11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Season 5 of The Witcher is expected to air on Netflix in late 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "The Witcher: Season 5". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "The Witcher: Season 5" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead before "The Witcher: Season 5" begins will not count toward this market’s resolution. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "The Witcher: Season 5" will qualify. Only events depicted in official "The Witcher: Season 5" episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the final episode of "The Witcher: Season 5" is released.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-die-in-the-witcher-season-5
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