Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | No | 71.43 | $0.070 | $11.07 | +$6.07 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 103.58 | $0.004 | $0.45 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 74.99 |
| $0.040 |
| $3.19 |
| +$0.19 |
 Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30? | Yes | 75 | $0.020 | $1.5 | $0 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5 | $0.160 | $1.1 | +$0.3 |
 Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.003 | $0.75 | -$3.75 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.48 | $0.665 | $0.69 | -$0.3 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.125 | $0.51 | -$0.12 |
 Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.040 | $0.35 | -$0.45 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 560.98 | $0.003 | $0.28 | -$1.4 |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.003 | $0.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 55.57 | $0.030 | $0.22 | -$1.44 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.030 | $0.11 | -$0.34 |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 8.79 | $0.030 | $0.05 | -$0.21 |
| sell |
| 99.99 |
| $0.006 |
| $0.6 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 111.97 | $0.002 | $0.22 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes | sell | 124.83 | $0.030 | $3.74 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 147.65 | $0.006 | $0.89 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 145.68 | $0.010 | $1.49 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | sell | 149.98 | $0.041 | $6.15 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 204.13 | $0.063 | $12.87 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 204.41 | $0.040 | $8.18 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 379.24 | $0.019 | $7.2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 210.84 | $0.229 | $48.26 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?No | sell | 6.86 | $0.050 | $0.34 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.6 | $0.030 | $0.05 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.030 | $0.05 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?Yes | sell | 13.77 | $0.040 | $0.55 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | sell | 6.23 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.004 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.72 | $0.004 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.004 | $0.01 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | sell | 5.84 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | sell | 2.47 | $0.002 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.016 | $0 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.03 | $0.250 | $2.01 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.24 | $0.250 | $2.81 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 US x China tariff agreement by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.45 | $0.090 | $0.13 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| US x China tariff agreement by July 31?Yes | sell | 42.71 | $0.090 | $3.84 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 9.34 | $0.060 | $0.56 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 17.84 | $0.060 | $1.07 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 0.76 | $0.060 | $0.05 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.050 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.050 | $0.02 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.050 | $0.01 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.050 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 0.69 | $0.050 | $0.03 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.050 | $0 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US x China tariff agreement by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.070 | $0.01 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.880 | $5.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.84 | $0.070 | $0.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.070 | $0.1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.54 | $0.070 | $0.04 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.88 | $0.070 | $0.62 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 12.93 | $0.110 | $1.42 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 0.31 | $0.110 | $0.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.020 | $1.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 86.76 | $0.106 | $9.24 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 51.8 | $0.013 | $0.67 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | sell | 2.53 | $0.080 | $0.2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.14 | $0.009 | $0.04 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.86 | $0.009 | $0.01 | Jun 28, 2026 |