Analytics
Yes is at 7.8%, down 17 points from 24.5% when the market opened on 31 Dec 2025.
The high was 50% on 20 Jun 2026 and the low 0.1% on 27 Jun 2026. A week ago Yes was at 7.6%; a month ago, 7.6%. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 40.5% on 28 Jun 2026.
$500M ranks sixth of the 6 outcomes in “Perena FDV above ___ one day after launch?”. $100M leads at 25.5%; $300M is at 17%.
$1.24K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $18.88K, with a 1.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 46 trades, $45.84 bought Yes and $419.38 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 86 shares; the largest No position is mustery with 116.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 10:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 257 points · 31 Dec 2025 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 24.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 8.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mustery | No | 116.32 |
| AJSV | Yes | 86.48 |
| emilianrus | No | 78.67 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Perena's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Perena doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/perena-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| politeste |
| Yes |
| 76.68 |
| F0EDaD999a2E64C9594d645F5Dd83B09526C87B1 | Yes | 67.5 |
| BullRunWaitingRoom | No | 66.76 |
| lakatosnapoleon | No | 59.5 |
| Biver52 | Yes | 45.5 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 40 |
| sludgelife | No | 20.68 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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