Analytics
Yes is at 24.5%, down 21 points from 45.5% when the market opened on 31 Dec 2025.
The high was 62.5% on 28 Jun 2026 and the low 21% on 18 Jun 2026. A week ago Yes was at 25%; a month ago, 32.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 62.5% on 28 Jun 2026.
$100M is the favourite of the 6 outcomes in “Perena FDV above ___ one day after launch?”, ahead of $300M at 17%.
$24.06K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.53K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 170 trades, $2.24K bought Yes and $5.1K bought No.
The largest Yes position is rajugg with 200 shares; the largest No position is PrivateEquityy with 198. Ten wallets hold 79.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 4:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 258 points · 31 Dec 2025 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 45.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rajugg | Yes | 200 |
| PrivateEquityy | No | 197.87 |
| missteaklin | No | 135.12 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Perena's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Perena doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/perena-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| ggbs |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| coolwct | Yes | 99.99 |
| qqqmmmccc | No | 72.77 |
| hashc | No | 67.91 |
| blobmaster | No | 56.71 |
| avatar12 | Yes | 50 |
| lingke | Yes | 40 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
