Analytics
Yes is at 19%, down 21 points from 40% when the market opened on 31 Dec 2025.
The high was 66% on 28 Jun 2026 and the low 13% on 13 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 16.5%; a month ago, 25.5%. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 66% on 28 Jun 2026.
$200M ranks second of the 6 outcomes in “Perena FDV above ___ one day after launch?”. $100M leads at 35.5%; $300M is at 18.5%.
$2.59K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.31K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 97 trades, $244.71 bought Yes and $300.1 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xixihaha009 with 75 shares; the largest No position is sladky with 158. Ten wallets hold 89.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 1:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 250 points · 31 Dec 2025 – 11 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 40.0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 19.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sladky | No | 158.34 |
| xixihaha009 | Yes | 75.08 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Perena's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Perena doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/perena-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| wheatherman | Yes | 38.53 |
| PBH | No | 36.22 |
| pppnn | No | 26.12 |
| AJSV | No | 24.31 |
| explorer221 | Yes | 21.21 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 20 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 18.13 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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