Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 478.85 | $0.060 | $26.34 | -$2.39 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.05 | $0.500 | $2.03 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 233.41 |
| $0.107 |
| $19.84 |
| -$5.2 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 121.78 | $0.151 | $19.48 | +$1.04 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 19.82 | $0.895 | $18.73 | +$0.98 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 242.5 | $0.080 | $18.19 | -$1.21 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 440.48 | $0.036 | $17.62 | +$1.62 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 552.73 | $0.029 | $16.86 | +$1.03 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 589.45 | $0.028 | $15.92 | -$0.65 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | Yes | 270.77 | $0.051 | $14.89 | +$1.18 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 116 | $0.130 | $14.5 | -$0.61 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 258.92 | $0.051 | $14.24 | +$1.07 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 94.96 | $0.130 | $12.82 | +$0.47 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 133.69 | $0.168 | $12.7 | -$9.79 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | Yes | 133.63 | $0.100 | $12.69 | -$0.7 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes | 86.91 | $0.144 | $11.73 | -$0.76 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 55.92 | $0.200 | $11.18 | +$0.01 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | Yes | 517.89 | $0.030 | $10.62 | -$4.92 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 176.62 | $0.060 | $10.6 | +$0 |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 281.89 | $0.040 | $10.15 | -$1.13 |
 Eric Adams charged by December 31? | Yes | 37.72 | $0.316 | $10 | -$1.94 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 83.28 | $0.102 | $9.58 | +$1.11 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 141.87 | $0.065 | $9.22 | +$0.05 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 203.3 | $0.050 | $9.15 | -$0.96 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 108.91 | $0.080 | $8.71 | +$0 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 246.62 | $0.052 | $8.63 | -$4.31 |
| sell |
| 0.7 |
| $0.500 |
| $0.35 |
| 15d ago |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | 18d ago |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.82 | $0.140 | $3.05 | 24d ago |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.42 | $0.070 | $1.36 | 27d ago |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.34 | $0.210 | $1.33 | 29d ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 52.91 | $0.220 | $11.64 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 44.35 | $0.070 | $3.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.81 | $0.220 | $13.82 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.630 | $0.01 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.58 | $0.780 | $0.45 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 36.15 | $0.080 | $2.89 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 23.48 | $0.120 | $2.82 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 27.85 | $0.060 | $1.67 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.100 | $0 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.68 | $0.150 | $0.55 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.46 | $0.300 | $0.44 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.047 | $0.18 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.4 | $0.070 | $0.31 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.001 | $0 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.89 | $0.960 | $1.81 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.86 | $0.290 | $0.54 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.4 | $0.460 | $2.02 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.06 | $0.270 | $0.83 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.84 | $0.160 | $0.13 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.55 | $0.500 | $0.78 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.44 | $0.490 | $1.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.07 | $0.017 | $0.07 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.29 | $0.550 | $2.36 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.010 | $0.02 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Tucker Carlson federally charged?Yes | sell | 2.11 | $0.014 | $0.03 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.44 | $0.030 | $0.07 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.008 | $0.01 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.100 | $0.04 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.41 | $0.181 | $0.62 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.21 | $0.070 | $0.01 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.19 | $0.016 | $0.07 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.73 | $0.090 | $0.43 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.041 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Kurds declare independence from Iran?Yes | sell | 0.39 | $0.014 | $0.01 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.4 | $0.080 | $0.35 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.46 | $0.150 | $0.67 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.18 | $0.009 | $0.04 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.004 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.52 | $0.039 | $0.14 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.028 | $0.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.86 | $0.070 | $1.18 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.88 | $0.951 | $3.69 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.81 | $0.550 | $2.1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?Yes | sell | 8.46 | $0.070 | $0.59 | Jun 10, 2026 |