Analytics
Yes is at 4.6%, down 9.4 points from 14% when the market opened on 3 Feb 2026.
The high was 22% on 7 Feb 2026 and the low 3% on 13 Jun 2026. A week ago Yes was at 4.3%; a month ago, 4%. Its largest one-day move was 7.8 points up, to 12.1% on 21 Jul 2026.
$343.56K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $26.75K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $250.45 bought Yes and $6.03K bought No; the largest was a $2K buy of No at 88.5¢.
The largest Yes position is hello2hello with 7K shares; the largest No position is helloiamworld with 15.3K. Ten wallets hold 56% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 85 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 7:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 225 points · 3 Feb 2026 – 8 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 14.0% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 4.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| helloiamworld | No | 15.28K |
| Kevindoto | No | 9.32K |
| afdafdafdafdafd | No | 8.94K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any individual serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison, and the cause of that incarceration is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying incarceration must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of incarceration may be established through official charging documents, court rulings, sentencing statements, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the incarceration to information contained in those released files. Incarceration driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official court records or government statements, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-anyone-be-jailed-over-epstein-disclosures
| hello2hello |
| Yes |
| 7K |
| Minty-Vane | No | 4.92K |
| shortfiat | Yes | 3.2K |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 2.96K |
| yaatikomaasba | Yes | 2.68K |
| RiskyyLemon | Yes | 2.54K |
| traboukos | No | 2.4K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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