
Yes is at 2.6%, down 12 points from 14.5% when the market opened on 19 Jul 2026.
Across the 99 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 16.5% on 3 Aug 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 8 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.6%; a month before, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 4.5% on 4 Aug 2026.
$400 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $58.57K since listing. The order book holds $18.18K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 350 trades, $697.36 bought Yes and $22.59K bought No; the largest was a $7.05K buy of No at 85.5¢.
The largest Yes position is Haradwaith with 5.7K shares; the largest No position is FrozenParasite with 10.6K. Ten wallets hold 91.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 99 points, 19 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2026 | 14.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite | No | 10.61K |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 5.73K |
| purebaby | Yes | 1.21K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), or an authorized representative of the FCC, publicly and officially announces the revocation, cancellation, denial of renewal, or non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying station is any full-power television broadcast station in the United States that is, at the time of the announcement, an owned-and-operated station or affiliate of the ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox broadcast networks. Actions against low-power stations, translator stations, Class A stations, radio stations, or stations not affiliated with one of the four listed networks do not qualify. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the FCC is revoking, cancelling, denying renewal of, or otherwise terminating a qualifying station's broadcast license, including an order that the license will not be renewed upon expiration. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the FCC's present revocation, cancellation, or denial of the license, a previously-unannounced prior revocation, cancellation, or denial, or a definitive decision to revoke, cancel, or deny the license. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the revocation, cancellation, or denial of a qualifying station's license. Statements that merely allude to, reference, threaten, or describe a potential revocation, without clearly communicating a decided action, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology; an announcement that a qualifying station's license has been terminated, rescinded, or will not be renewed qualifies, provided the substantive action against the license is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual or body acting in an official capacity, including a Commission order, public notice, or official statement by the FCC or its authorized representatives. The following do not qualify: - Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; - Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the FCC, including statements by the President or other government officials calling for, urging, or predicting a revocation, unless accompanied by qualifying FCC action; - Statements by individual FCC Commissioners, including the Chairman, expressing intent, threat, or support for revocation, absent an adopted Commission action or an action taken under validly delegated authority; - Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the FCC will revoke, cancel, or deny a license; - Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; - A licensee's voluntary surrender, sale, transfer, or relinquishment of a license, or a station's loss or change of network affiliation, absent qualifying FCC action; and - Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional revocation rather than announcing a present and decided action. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the action is later reversed, stayed, vacated on appeal, or whether the station actually ceases broadcasting. Resolution will be based on official information from the Federal Communications Commission, including Commission orders, public notices, the FCC's Electronic Document Management System (EDOCS), the Licensing and Management System (LMS), and official statements by the FCC or its authorized representatives.
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 688.29 |
| Perypery | Yes | 477 |
| thread | Yes | 462.36 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 337 |
| rocky42005 | Yes | 300 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 250 |
| lineth | Yes | 235 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fcc-revokes-a-major-network-broadcast-license-by-december-31-2026-20260717235625543
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