Analytics
Yes is at 7.5%, down 29 points from 36.5% when the market opened on 29 Apr 2026.
The high was 39.5% on 1 Sep 2026 and the low 6.5% on 26 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 10.5%; a month ago, 36.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 28% on 22 Jul 2026.
$48.66 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $196.98K since listing. The order book holds $14.8K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.37K bought Yes and $19.88K bought No; the largest was a $2.06K sell of No at 90.0¢.
The largest Yes position is ImJustKen with 7.5K shares; the largest No position is Cobalt Sphinx AB2C with 5.4K. Ten wallets hold 70% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 80 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 13, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 169 points · 29 Apr 2026 – 13 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 36.5% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 7.5K |
| Cobalt Sphinx AB2C | No | 5.4K |
| denizz |
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/. This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-another-country-leave-opec-in-2026
| No |
| 5.35K |
| BTCGambler247 | No | 3.65K |
| eccho | Yes | 3.24K |
| Lord.Krulos | No | 2.59K |
| filthymudeok | No | 906.77 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 800 |
| lissartter | Yes | 710.32 |
| thoodr | No | 700 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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