Analytics
Yes is at 2.1%, down 1 point from 3.1% when the market opened on 1 May 2026.
Across the 179 daily closes on record from 1 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 4.1% on 28 May 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 19 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.9%; a month before, 2.1%.
$61.84K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $75.73K, with a 0.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $50.86 bought Yes and $17.56K bought No; the largest was a $2.26K sell of No at 98.2¢.
The largest Yes position is Gullible-Pomelo with 10K shares; the largest No position is Car with 3.9K. Ten wallets hold 73.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 179 points, 1 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 3.1% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gullible-Pomelo | Yes | 9.95K |
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 3.9K |
| jpa62lfbp7le |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-goes-to-space-in-2026
| Yes |
| 2K |
| bettingonwar | No | 1.74K |
| ArbitrageTaker | No | 1.25K |
| bearbees2 | No | 1.18K |
| estateshomer | No | 941.31 |
| bazooka1 | No | 900 |
| Userp6a | Yes | 800 |
| Noteagle | No | 790 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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