Analytics
ArbitrageTaker has made $1.21K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 4K | $0.951 | $3.97K | +$164.78 |
 Is Earth flat? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 22 | 3 | 0.0% | $4.28 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-09 12:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
29 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 13:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 13:54 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-09 12:07 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.12K and losing ones cost $1.4K across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $188.7 on “Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?” (No); the largest loss, $456.88 on “Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?” (No).
It has traded 156 markets. Its open positions are worth $17.83K across 29 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.32K |
| $0.981 |
| $1.31K |
| +$17.2 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 1.25K | $0.981 | $1.23K | -$1.01 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11K | $0.963 | $1.09K | +$14.86 |
 Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 1.01K | $0.968 | $1.01K | +$25.41 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.930 | $987 | +$57 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 838.77 | $0.890 | $817.8 | +$71.57 |
 Will Trump resign before 2027? | No | 800 | $0.920 | $784 | +$48 |
 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 700 | $0.993 | $699.65 | +$4.55 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | 704.03 | $0.903 | $683.61 | +$47.95 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 622.49 | $0.920 | $617.2 | +$44.51 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | No | 608.41 | $0.865 | $588.03 | +$61.88 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 526.42 | $0.981 | $515.1 | -$1.56 |
 Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? | No | 521.06 | $0.820 | $491.1 | +$63.86 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.910 | $474 | +$19 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 400 | $0.900 | $391.8 | +$31.8 |
 Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 395.16 | $0.968 | $386.86 | +$4.35 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.845 | $380.4 | +$42.4 |
 Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 300 | $0.978 | $296.55 | +$3.15 |
 Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien? | Yes | 501.28 | $0.357 | $288.24 | +$109.3 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 266.2 | $0.979 | $262.61 | +$2 |
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 171.76 | $0.963 | $168.15 | +$2.74 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 174.89 | $0.800 | $167.02 | +$27.11 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | No | 99.28 | $0.852 | $94.22 | +$9.68 |
 Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 75 | $0.908 | $72.53 | +$4.45 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
