Analytics
Yes is at 1.7%, down 5.8 points from 7.5% when the market opened on 7 Feb 2026.
Across the 248 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.5% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 5 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.8%; a month before, 0.9%.
$80 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.19M since listing. The order book holds $38.86K, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is 0pt1 with 9.5K shares; the largest No position is chrislilondon with 2.8K. Ten wallets hold 79.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 8:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 248 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 7.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 1.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0pt1 | Yes | 9.47K |
| chrislilondon | No | 2.84K |
| allenzzz | No | 2.29K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-alberta-join-the-us
| ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD |
| No |
| 1.45K |
| Minty-Vane | No | 1.42K |
| cnotess | Yes | 1.42K |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 1.17K |
| Azure Pioneer C95A | Yes | 1.12K |
| hubbleslake | No | 1K |
| Gorgeous-Cry-Depth | No | 889.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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