Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 115.79 | $0.190 | $14.47 | -$7.53 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 53.76 | $0.074 | $3.98 | 20d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 135.59 |
| $0.147 |
| $12.68 |
| -$7.32 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $7.5 | -$2.5 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026? | Yes | 181.82 | $0.110 | $5.91 | -$14.09 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.180 | $3.61 | -$6.39 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | Yes | 60.91 | $0.148 | $3.38 | -$5.62 |
| sell |
| 456.92 |
| $0.009 |
| $4.11 |
| 21d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.012 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
 Kurds declare independence from Iran?Yes | sell | 55.6 | $0.038 | $2.14 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 243.33 | $0.012 | $2.92 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 68.03 | $0.147 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 307.83 | $0.001 | $0.31 | May 15, 2026 |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran?Yes | buy | 55.6 | $0.050 | $2.8 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.057 | $2.83 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 218.99 | $0.022 | $4.73 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 53.76 | $0.093 | $5 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 41.15 | $0.253 | $10.41 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 456.92 | $0.013 | $5.94 | May 11, 2026 |
 No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.296 | $6.17 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 60.91 | $0.148 | $9 | May 9, 2026 |
 Tucker Carlson federally charged?Yes | buy | 283.33 | $0.018 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 127.11 | $0.039 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.148 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 492.07 | $0.020 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20.49 | $0.244 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 307.83 | $0.016 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.999 | $124.88 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.007 | $0.74 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20.66 | $0.242 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | May 8, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | May 8, 2026 |