Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 8% on 30 Apr 2026 and the low 0.1% on 29 Jun 2026. $11.23M traded over the market's life.
648 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 4:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 71 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 7.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fior | Yes | 720.3K |
| Wasserhous | Yes | 414.21K |
| DisprayName | Yes | 206.2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| ScaryDream | Yes | 179.45K |
| wizard7777 | Yes | 152.2K |
| SteveJohnson | Yes | 125.7K |
| Precognitive | Yes | 119.57K |
| Mindnahui | Yes | 97.33K |
| bueller | Yes | 80.02K |
| BernieAVLG | Yes | 55.47K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
