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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 27.31K | $0.681 | $22.81K | +$4.19K |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 19.46K |
| $0.779 |
| $17.03K |
| +$1.86K |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 18.35K | $0.865 | $17.02K | +$1.14K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 12.39K | $0.757 | $11.59K | +$2.21K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 8.88K | $0.890 | $7.77K | -$133.16 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.29K | $0.664 | $6.92K | +$748.81 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.07K | $0.795 | $6.68K | +$1.06K |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 7.3K | $0.853 | $6.65K | +$416.89 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6K | $0.990 | $5.98K | +$40.5 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 6K | $0.982 | $5.92K | +$24.21 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | No | 7.25K | $0.818 | $5.77K | -$164.99 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 5.81K | $0.863 | $5.38K | +$362.58 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5K | $0.981 | $4.94K | +$38.5 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 5K | $0.974 | $4.89K | +$15 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 5.53K | $0.833 | $4.69K | +$86.89 |
 Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | Yes | 4.88K | $0.870 | $4.27K | +$24.43 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.43K | $0.833 | $4.14K | +$451.57 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 4.72K | $0.865 | $4.04K | -$45.46 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 4.52K | $0.836 | $3.93K | +$154.09 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.04K | $0.729 | $3.5K | +$548.72 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 3.12K | $0.846 | $2.67K | +$28.04 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September? | No | 2.5K | $0.940 | $2.39K | +$37.5 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.28K | $0.969 | $2.22K | +$13.9 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 2.11K | $0.970 | $2.05K | +$9.48 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 2.14K | $0.902 | $1.98K | +$49.82 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.880 |
| $26.4 |
| 1d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.970 | $2.04K | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.890 | $987.55 | 1d ago |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 624.39 | $0.930 | $580.68 | 2d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?No | buy | 1.92K | $0.818 | $1.57K | 2d ago |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 1.23K | $0.790 | $973.26 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.999 | $1.6K | 2d ago |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 970.9 | $0.980 | $951.48 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.998 | $499 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.998 | $499 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.978 | $2.02K | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.998 | $798.4 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 508.56 | $0.970 | $493.18 | 2d ago |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 305.1 | $0.970 | $295.82 | 2d ago |
 Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-05?No | buy | 893.28 | $0.950 | $848.62 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.996 | $796.8 | 3d ago |
| Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-05?No | buy | 1K | $0.950 | $950 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.996 | $996 | 3d ago |
| Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-05?No | buy | 810 | $0.950 | $769.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?No | buy | 1.88K | $0.820 | $1.54K | 3d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 87.86 | $0.830 | $72.92 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 1.24K | $0.310 | $385.26 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 3K | $0.350 | $1.05K | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 1.78K | $0.638 | $1.14K | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 429.52 | $0.630 | $270.6 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?No | buy | 332.35 | $0.820 | $272.53 | 4d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 609.99 | $0.530 | $323.19 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.810 | $954.17 | 4d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 202.65 | $0.830 | $168.2 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 995 | $0.860 | $855.7 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 344.36 | $0.920 | $316.81 | 5d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.996 | $209.16 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.770 | $803.88 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 88.6 | $0.760 | $67.34 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 454.88 | $0.968 | $440.37 | 5d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.940 | $2.35K | 5d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 1K | $0.870 | $870 | 5d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2.68K | $0.890 | $2.38K | 7d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 2.3K | $0.998 | $2.3K | 7d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 6.2K | $0.890 | $5.52K | 7d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 864.13 | $0.990 | $855.49 | 7d ago |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.870 | $989.47 | 7d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 855.88 | $0.990 | $847.32 | 7d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 4K | $0.981 | $3.92K | 7d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 2.31K | $0.960 | $2.22K | 7d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.981 | $2K | 7d ago |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 142 | $0.952 | $135.18 | 8d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.69K | $0.989 | $2.66K | 8d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.889 | $1.25K | 8d ago |