Analytics
Yes is at 10.5%, down 6 points from 16.5% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 16.5% on 11 Oct 2026 and the lowest 9% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16.5%. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 9% on 17 Oct 2026.
$295.45 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $47.36K since listing. The order book holds $56.87K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 233 trades, $1.59K bought Yes and $13.51K bought No; the largest was a $4.2K buy of No at 84.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Nibiru2 with 4.1K shares; the largest No position is johndoez with 5.1K. Ten wallets hold 77.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 1:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/modi-out-by-june-30-2027
| lranon2nd |
| Yes |
| 2K |
| Convex79 | Yes | 1.91K |
| Pointed-Nit | No | 1.04K |
| dsoperative | No | 1K |
| ahhuat8 | Yes | 999.56 |
| MirAsifAhr | No | 710 |
| crytotrade | No | 700 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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