Analytics
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
economyActive
Closes Dec 1, 2026 UTC
Yes
48.0%
No
52.0%
Yes costs 48¢No costs 52¢
24h Volume
$13.2K
Total volume
$13.2K
Liquidity
$5.0K
Closes
Dec 1, 2026 UTC
Topic roomLargest Company
Where it stands
Yes is at 48%, down 41 points from 88.5% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 91.5% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 14 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 75%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 60% on 10 Nov 2026.
Microsoft is the favourite of the 11 outcomes in “3rd Largest Company end of November 2026?”, ahead of NVIDIA at 26.7%.
Across the latest 333 trades, $3.1K bought Yes and $1.46K bought No.
Ten wallets hold 81.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 17 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 88.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 46.5% |
All outcomes
3rd Largest Company end of November 2026?
- 1MicrosoftThis market$13.19K traded48.0%
- 2NVIDIA$9.23K traded26.7%
- 3
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 3.29K |
| Serpentine-Majority | Yes | 1.47K |
| GabiFP | Yes | 1.09K |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-november-2026
Dates
- Event startsNov 2, 2026 UTC
- Now
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in Largest Company
- Quarterly earnings, above all the chipmakers' guidance on data-centre demand
- Index flows and rebalancing on the last trading days of a month or quarter
- Rate expectations, which move long-duration technology stocks more than the market