Analytics
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
economyActive
Closes Dec 1, 2026 UTC
Yes
23.1%
No
77.0%
Yes costs 23.05¢No costs 76.95¢
24h Volume
$69
Total volume
$7.5K
Liquidity
$7.9K
Closes
Dec 1, 2026 UTC
Topic roomLargest Company
Where it stands
Yes is at 23.1%, up 17 points from 5.8% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 13 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 25.5% on 14 Nov 2026 and the lowest 5.8% on 3 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11.6%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 23.8% on 12 Nov 2026.
Alphabet ranks third of the 11 outcomes in “3rd Largest Company end of November 2026?”. Microsoft leads at 48%; NVIDIA is at 26.7%.
The best bid and the best ask are 6.1% apart, so read the price as a range. Across the latest 180 trades, $356.69 bought Yes and $3.28K bought No.
Ten wallets hold 90.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 17 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:41 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 5.8% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 23.1% |
All outcomes
3rd Largest Company end of November 2026?
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 3.29K |
| Machaon | Yes | 1.07K |
| Monumental-Blood-Bongo | Yes | 746.99 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-november-2026
Dates
- Event startsNov 2, 2026 UTC
- Now
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in Largest Company
- Quarterly earnings, above all the chipmakers' guidance on data-centre demand
- Index flows and rebalancing on the last trading days of a month or quarter
- Rate expectations, which move long-duration technology stocks more than the market