Analytics
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
economyActive
Closes Dec 1, 2026 UTC
Yes
0.1%
No
99.8%
Yes costs 0.15¢No costs 99.85¢
24h Volume
$2.2K
Total volume
$74.3K
Liquidity
$49.6K
Closes
Dec 1, 2026 UTC
Topic roomLargest Company
Where it stands
Yes is at 0.1%, down 1.1 points from 1.2% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 1.2% on 3 Nov 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.3%.
Microsoft ranks third of the 11 outcomes in “Largest Company end of November 2026?”. Apple leads at 97.2%; NVIDIA is at 2.7%.
Across the latest 484 trades, $75.47 bought Yes and $33.4K bought No; the largest was a $1.99K buy of No at 99.9¢.
Ten wallets hold 83.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 17 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 1.2% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 0.1% |
All outcomes
Largest Company end of November 2026?
- 1Apple$133.88K traded97.2%
- 2NVIDIA$147.55K traded2.7%
- 3MicrosoftThis market
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 45.4K |
| Machaon | Yes | 20K |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank | Yes | 7.55K |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-november-2026
Dates
- Event startsNov 2, 2026 UTC
- Now
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in Largest Company
- Quarterly earnings, above all the chipmakers' guidance on data-centre demand
- Index flows and rebalancing on the last trading days of a month or quarter
- Rate expectations, which move long-duration technology stocks more than the market