Analytics
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
economyActive
Closes Dec 1, 2026 UTC
Yes
47.0%
No
53.0%
Yes costs 47¢No costs 53¢
24h Volume
$530
Total volume
$18.3K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Closes
Dec 1, 2026 UTC
Topic roomLargest Company
Where it stands
Yes is at 47%, up 2 points from 45% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 68% on 9 Nov 2026 and the lowest 34% on 4 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 65%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 53.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
NVIDIA is the favourite of the 11 outcomes in “2nd Largest Company end of November 2026?”, ahead of Microsoft at 34.2%.
The best bid and the best ask are 4.0% apart, so read the price as a range. Across the latest 434 trades, $4.35K bought Yes and $2.76K bought No.
Ten wallets hold 61.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 17 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 45.0% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 41.5% |
All outcomes
2nd Largest Company end of November 2026?
- 1NVIDIAThis market$18.3K traded47.0%
- 2Microsoft$5.84K traded34.2%
- 3
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 1.76K |
| Dimpled-Foal | Yes | 658.68 |
| buoys | Yes | 640.66 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-november-2026
Dates
- Event startsNov 2, 2026 UTC
- Now
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in Largest Company
- Quarterly earnings, above all the chipmakers' guidance on data-centre demand
- Index flows and rebalancing on the last trading days of a month or quarter
- Rate expectations, which move long-duration technology stocks more than the market