Analytics
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
economyActive
Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC
Yes
90.7%
No
9.3%
Yes costs 90.65¢No costs 9.35¢
24h Volume
$6.3K
Total volume
$1.6M
Liquidity
$60.3K
Closes
Jan 1, 2027 UTC
Topic roomLargest Company
Where it stands
Yes is at 90.6%, up 83 points from 7.5% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
Across the 343 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 14 Nov 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 90.6% on 14 Nov 2026 and the lowest 6% on 14 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 63.5%; a month before, 25.4%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 62.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
Apple is the favourite of the 8 outcomes in “Largest Company end of December 2026?”, ahead of NVIDIA at 7.5%.
Across the latest 500 trades, $44.04K bought Yes and $2.31K bought No; the largest was a $6.07K buy of Yes at 84.8¢.
Ten wallets hold 85.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 48 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 343 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 14 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 7.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 90.6% |
All outcomes
Largest Company end of December 2026?
- 1AppleThis market$1.59M traded90.6%
- 2NVIDIA$2.05M traded7.5%
- 3Alphabet
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 489.1K |
| Hauchn | Yes | 276.57K |
| Albert 1953 | Yes | 28.75K |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-december-2026
Dates
- Event startsNov 12, 2025 UTC
- NowLatest price
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in Largest Company
- Quarterly earnings, above all the chipmakers' guidance on data-centre demand
- Index flows and rebalancing on the last trading days of a month or quarter
- Rate expectations, which move long-duration technology stocks more than the market