Analytics
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
economyActive
Closes Dec 1, 2026 UTC
Yes
2.7%
No
97.3%
Yes costs 2.7¢No costs 97.3¢
24h Volume
$1.1K
Total volume
$147.6K
Liquidity
$43.7K
Closes
Dec 1, 2026 UTC
Topic roomLargest Company
Where it stands
Yes is at 2.7%, down 70 points from 72.5% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 72.5% on 3 Nov 2026 and the lowest 3.8% on 14 Nov 2026. The current quote, 2.7%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 3.8% on 14 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 22%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 40.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
NVIDIA ranks second of the 11 outcomes in “Largest Company end of November 2026?”. Apple leads at 97.2%; Microsoft is at 0.1%.
Across the latest 500 trades, $4.51K bought Yes and $28.7K bought No; the largest was a $6.11K buy of No at 95.0¢.
Ten wallets hold 79.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 17 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:23 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 72.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 3.8% |
All outcomes
Largest Company end of November 2026?
- 1Apple$133.88K traded97.2%
- 2NVIDIAThis market$147.55K traded2.7%
- 3Microsoft
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 45.4K |
| o-1j8y54 | Yes | 14.02K |
| syavong130 | Yes | 11K |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-november-2026
Dates
- Event startsNov 2, 2026 UTC
- Now
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in Largest Company
- Quarterly earnings, above all the chipmakers' guidance on data-centre demand
- Index flows and rebalancing on the last trading days of a month or quarter
- Rate expectations, which move long-duration technology stocks more than the market