Analytics
TBill1 has made $85.42K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-11 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 26.9K | $0.835 | $21.65K | -$803.44 |
 US recession by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-11 00:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 18:45 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 18:45 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-11 00:50 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $582.98K and losing ones cost $437.84K across the latest 50 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $77.51K on “Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?” (Yes); the largest loss, $64.78K on “Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?” (Yes).
It has traded 460 markets. Its open positions are worth $114.5K across 57 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 21.6K |
| $0.898 |
| $19.98K |
| +$581.46 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11.06K | $0.740 | $10.45K | +$2.27K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 10K | $0.910 | $9.25K | +$150 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 10K | $0.910 | $9.25K | +$150 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 8.53K | $0.966 | $8.29K | +$52.48 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 7.08K | $0.871 | $6.09K | -$69.01 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 4.58K | $0.603 | $2.75K | -$13.37 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 2.72K | $0.972 | $2.69K | +$48.68 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 3K | $0.730 | $2.44K | +$255 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.967 | $2.43K | +$9.92 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5.23K | $0.280 | $2.28K | +$812.39 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.07K | $0.730 | $1.77K | +$255.98 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 27.52K | $0.302 | $1.51K | -$6.79K |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 5.87K | $0.206 | $1.41K | +$202.44 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.740 | $1.15K | +$37.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 960 | $0.920 | $915.36 | +$31.94 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 124.99K | $0.011 | $812.42 | -$549.17 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 1.29K | $0.619 | $801.9 | +$0.92 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1K | $0.730 | $730 | $0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | No | 800 | $0.870 | $684 | -$12 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 799.99 | $0.870 | $683.99 | -$12 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 999.54 | $0.650 | $634.71 | -$14.99 |
 France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | No | 600.01 | $0.821 | $552.01 | +$59.67 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 502.42 | $0.749 | $467 | +$90.76 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
