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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 86.53K | $0.500 | $65.72K | +$22.45K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.943 | $188.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 86.53K |
| $0.500 |
| $20.81K |
| -$22.45K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 11.8K | $0.713 | $10.09K | +$1.67K |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.760 | $1.36K | +$217.5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.35K | $0.588 | $1.35K | -$30.54 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.56K | $0.551 | $1.35K | +$488.77 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.2K | $0.238 | $1.03K | +$740 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.790 | $935.01 | +$145 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | No | 900 | $0.830 | $863.1 | +$116.1 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 899.99 | $0.743 | $845.99 | +$177 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 699.99 | $0.803 | $643.99 | +$82 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 686.65 | $0.403 | $635.15 | +$358.22 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.920 | $488.75 | +$28.75 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.929 | $483.25 | +$18.75 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 400.03 | $0.860 | $380.03 | +$36.01 |
 Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | No | 400 | $0.750 | $376 | +$76 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 400 | $0.690 | $346 | +$70 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 399.98 | $0.520 | $337.98 | +$129.99 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.750 | $285 | +$60 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 600 | $0.600 | $285 | -$75 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 246.13 | $0.726 | $220.28 | +$41.53 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 199.98 | $0.870 | $186.99 | +$13 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.750 | $91.5 | +$16.5 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 104.17 | $0.760 | $91.15 | +$11.98 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 64.54 | $0.860 | $61.15 | +$5.65 |
| sell |
| 5.4 |
| $0.002 |
| $0.01 |
| Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | sell | 199.82 | $0.985 | $196.82 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | sell | 399.97 | $0.090 | $36 | May 9, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 2K | $0.912 | $1.82K | May 9, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.909 | $1.82K | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 86.44 | $0.800 | $69.15 | May 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 1K | $0.640 | $640 | May 7, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | May 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.5 | $0.500 | $5.75 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.520 | $260 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 775.99 | $0.330 | $256.08 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.810 | $2.43K | May 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 47.5 | $0.057 | $2.71 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 585.27 | $0.510 | $298.49 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 15K | $0.300 | $4.5K | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.210 | $2.52 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.73K | $0.210 | $783.51 | May 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 749.99 | $0.930 | $697.49 | May 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.95K | $0.930 | $1.81K | May 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.932 | $279.6 | May 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 2K | $0.720 | $1.44K | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 828.25 | $0.962 | $796.78 | May 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 4K | $0.860 | $3.44K | May 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.943 | $1.33K | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 1.53K | $0.968 | $1.48K | May 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 50.5 | $0.690 | $34.85 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.910 | $910 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | buy | 506.2 | $0.820 | $415.08 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.690 | $11.04 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | May 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 4.2K | $0.810 | $3.4K | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 128.11 | $0.720 | $92.24 | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 573.13 | $0.270 | $154.75 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 2.74K | $0.920 | $2.52K | May 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 405 | $0.830 | $336.15 | May 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.870 | $522 | May 1, 2026 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 376.29 | $0.020 | $7.53 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.021 | $0.32 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.023 | $2.3 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.920 | $976.41 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Borova by April 30?No | buy | 9.56 | $0.990 | $9.46 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 934.22 | $0.700 | $653.95 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No | sell | 1.09K | $0.993 | $1.08K | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 800 | $0.900 | $720 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 114.24 | $0.400 | $45.7 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 163.64 | $0.390 | $63.82 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.960 | $1.04K | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | Apr 26, 2026 |