Analytics
Yes is at 8.5%, down 52 points from 60.5% when the market opened on 10 Jan 2026.
Across the 272 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 85% on 14 Jan 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 15 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.5%; a month before, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 83.5% on 1 Mar 2026.
$10 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $239.18K since listing. The order book holds $16.44K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.86K bought Yes and $3.22K bought No.
The largest Yes position is smartiz1989 with 4.1K shares; the largest No position is MajidJavadi with 19.5K. Ten wallets hold 66% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 272 points, 10 Jan 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | 60.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MajidJavadi | No | 19.51K |
| denizz | No | 4.44K |
| smartiz1989 | Yes | 4.1K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/masoud-pezeshkian-out-by
| pakukudolphi |
| Yes |
| 2.96K |
| Cheerful-Nucleotidase | Yes | 2.35K |
| XueqinJiang | Yes | 1.74K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.58K |
| Upset-Precipitation | Yes | 1.51K |
| SqMoneyHunter | Yes | 1.13K |
| tetrose | Yes | 1.13K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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