Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 6.07K | $0.086 | $394.64 | -$125.35 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | sell | 72.83 | $0.990 | $72.11 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.92K |
| $0.490 |
| $277.92 |
| -$660.54 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 2.35K | $0.187 | $270.32 | -$168.67 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | No | 685.6 | $0.586 | $257.44 | -$144.55 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 4.59K | $0.164 | $252.36 | -$499.63 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 952.39 | $0.210 | $128.57 | -$71.43 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 526.32 | $0.190 | $123.68 | +$23.68 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.495 | $112 | +$13 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 1.38K | $0.224 | $90 | -$220 |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | Yes | 196.72 | $0.305 | $62.07 | +$2.07 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 924.48 | $0.218 | $49 | -$153 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | Yes | 272.73 | $0.110 | $36.82 | +$6.82 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 260 | $0.072 | $29.25 | +$10.63 |
| Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026? | Yes | 719.6 | $0.114 | $29.14 | -$53.16 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.260 | $13 | -$39 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 100 | $0.150 | $11.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.560 | $6.65 | -$49.35 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5.68 | +$0.68 |
| Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026? | Yes | 537.25 | $0.019 | $4.57 | -$5.43 |
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? | Yes | 133.33 | $0.061 | $3.07 | -$5.13 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $1.27 | -$0.73 |
| buy |
| 526.32 |
| $0.190 |
| $100 |
| 3d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.220 | $17.6 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | 3d ago |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | 4d ago |
 Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-04?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | 5d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 76.92 | $0.004 | $0.34 | 6d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | 7d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 72.83 | $0.549 | $40 | 11d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.23 | $0.301 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | 22d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | 23d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | 23d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 169.38 | $0.590 | $100 | 23d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | 23d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | 23d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | 23d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | 23d ago |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | 23d ago |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.110 | $30 | 23d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.98 | $0.061 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.69 | $0.088 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | 25d ago |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?No | buy | 54.25 | $0.369 | $20 | 27d ago |
 Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | 27d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | 27d ago |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | buy | 27.08 | $0.480 | $13 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.330 | $15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.54K | $0.004 | $6.14 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 549.1 | $0.002 | $1.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.220 | $200 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 10.89 | $0.918 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 952.38 | $0.210 | $200 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | buy | 313.43 | $0.319 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 205.22 | $0.078 | $16 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | buy | 638.37 | $0.313 | $200 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.058 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 |