Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 53.5%. Yes opened at 62% on 10 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 67% on 11 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 67% on 11 Oct 2026. $90.09K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 6:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 10 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | 62.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 53.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-any-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260819
| No |
| 1.95K |
| AlphaGooo | No | 1.7K |
| mamai | No | 1.67K |
| balthazar | No | 1.34K |
| Coldonn101 | No | 1.12K |
| PashaAsOracul | No | 1.03K |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | No | 999.97 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
