Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 8.42K | $0.759 | $7.45K | +$1.06K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 342.18 | $0.590 | $201.89 | 21m ago |
|
| Yes |
| 14.3K |
| $0.553 |
| $6.65K |
| -$1.26K |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 10.96K | $0.437 | $5.31K | +$523.58 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.2K | $0.724 | $3.51K | +$467.01 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.46K | $0.546 | $2.06K | +$169.51 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | No | 1.84K | $0.650 | $1.79K | +$587.94 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.8K | $0.721 | $1.68K | +$385.2 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | No | 952.11 | $0.602 | $623.63 | +$50.74 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026? | Yes | 1.23K | $0.337 | $318.73 | -$94.47 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Yes | 410.82 | $0.384 | $248.55 | +$90.98 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 651.84 | $0.510 | $182.51 | -$149.83 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400 | $0.250 | $174 | +$74 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | $0.230 | $152.5 | +$37.5 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 590 | $0.275 | $109.15 | -$53.15 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.808 | $75.35 | -$5.45 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.205 | $50 | -$32 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 200 | $0.275 | $43 | -$12 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 300 | $0.100 | $34.5 | +$4.5 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 100 | $0.620 | $34.5 | -$27.5 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 200 | $0.192 | $32.7 | -$5.6 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 300 | $0.110 | $28.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | Yes | 36.53 | $0.646 | $25.39 | +$1.77 |
 Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | Yes | 0.8 | $0.100 | $0.02 | -$0.06 |
| buy |
| 669.99 |
| $0.890 |
| $596.29 |
| 22m ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 9.73 | $0.880 | $8.56 | 1h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.880 | $264 | 1h ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 1.29K | $0.914 | $1.18K | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 513.48 | $0.390 | $200.26 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | sell | 297.11 | $0.270 | $80.22 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | sell | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 122 | $0.420 | $51.24 | 2h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.280 | $560 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.480 | $480 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 3.12K | $0.352 | $1.1K | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 481.81 | $0.370 | $178.27 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 685.07 | $0.360 | $246.63 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 3K | $0.380 | $1.14K | 1d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 38.55 | $0.550 | $21.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.504 | $50.43 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 6.53K | $0.418 | $2.73K | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.113 | $0 | 2d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 904.07 | $0.149 | $134.88 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 1.97K | $0.170 | $335.37 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | 3d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No | sell | 1.27K | $0.970 | $1.24K | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 907.36 | $0.630 | $571.64 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 160 | $0.690 | $110.4 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 227.16 | $0.690 | $156.74 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 994.3 | $0.690 | $686.07 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 604 | $0.680 | $410.72 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 940.67 | $0.685 | $644.24 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.240 | $8.88 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 112.5 | $0.310 | $34.88 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 82.93 | $0.230 | $19.07 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 950 | $0.287 | $272.42 | 4d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 644.85 | $0.660 | $425.6 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 1.81K | $0.991 | $1.8K | 4d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.650 | $650 | 4d ago |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.6K | $0.590 | $1.53K | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.51K | $0.600 | $3.31K | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 150 | $0.550 | $82.5 | 7d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 440.62 | $0.250 | $110 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 320 | $0.460 | $147.2 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.720 | $42.48 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.730 | $146 | 11d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 1.65K | $0.973 | $1.61K | 12d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.974 | $1.07K | 12d ago |