Analytics
Yes is at 2.7%, down 14 points from 16.5% when the market opened on 20 Feb 2026.
Across the 215 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (36 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 16.5% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 16 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.8%; a month before, 2.4%.
$728.41 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $228.09K since listing. The order book holds $14.87K, with a 1.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $879.3 bought Yes and $10.3K bought No; the largest was a $1.5K buy of No at 94.0¢.
The largest Yes position is SINISTERPETE with 10K shares; the largest No position is Bobic with 8.9K. Ten wallets hold 58.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 215 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 16.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SINISTERPETE | Yes | 10.04K |
| Bobic | No | 8.88K |
| hughjonesd | No | 8.6K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.” If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/prince-andrew-sentenced-to-prison
| tnl |
| No |
| 4.1K |
| celery-cactus | No | 3.41K |
| TheEmprah | No | 3K |
| Solar Oracle E319 | No | 2.94K |
| SpiRaX | Yes | 1.88K |
| ddurrrrrr | Yes | 1.79K |
| rocky42019 | Yes | 1.18K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
