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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.21K | $0.868 | $1.07K | +$20.94 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 337.08 | $0.890 | $300 | 20h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 960.32 |
| $0.529 |
| $923.83 |
| +$415.75 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 535.14 | $0.747 | $511.05 | +$111.25 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026? | No | 476.32 | $0.735 | $447.74 | +$97.74 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 445.92 | $0.224 | $258.63 | +$158.63 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 235.42 | $0.934 | $220.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 396.97 | $0.479 | $212.38 | +$22.38 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 269.03 | $0.100 | $159.27 | +$132.27 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026? | No | 161.72 | $0.927 | $155.25 | +$5.25 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 176.17 | $0.851 | $155.03 | +$5.03 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 176.83 | $0.820 | $145 | $0 |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.40 and $0.45 on September 30, 2026? | No | 141.34 | $0.941 | $139.29 | +$6.29 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.490 | $91.5 | +$42.5 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026? | No | 98.61 | $0.720 | $89.24 | +$18.24 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | Yes | 318.11 | $0.674 | $76.35 | -$137.99 |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026? | No | 75.71 | $0.700 | $73.93 | +$20.93 |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 111.67 | $0.600 | $61.42 | -$5.58 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 66.82 | $0.658 | $42.43 | -$1.57 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on September 30, 2026? | Yes | 135.8 | $0.243 | $37.41 | +$4.41 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | Yes | 61.29 | $0.587 | $37.08 | +$1.08 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes | 371.14 | $0.259 | $32.85 | -$63.15 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 107.41 | $0.270 | $32.76 | +$3.76 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 125 | $0.160 | $31.25 | +$11.25 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 109.54 | $0.091 | $28.48 | +$18.48 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 118.34 | $0.169 | $26.15 | +$6.15 |
| buy |
| 449.44 |
| $0.890 |
| $400 |
| 20h ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | buy | 176.17 | $0.851 | $150 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 61.29 | $0.587 | $36 | 1d ago |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | buy | 66.82 | $0.659 | $44 | 1d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 157.14 | $0.070 | $11 | 1d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 98.61 | $0.720 | $71 | 1d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 161.72 | $0.928 | $150 | 1d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.210 | $4 | 1d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 445.92 | $0.224 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.68 | $0.081 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 135.8 | $0.243 | $33 | 1d ago |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 109.54 | $0.091 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.64 | $0.082 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 77.36 | $0.129 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.78 | $0.910 | $18 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 26.45 | $0.756 | $20 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | 6d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 121.89 | $0.820 | $100 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 70.37 | $0.270 | $19 | 10d ago |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 129.03 | $0.930 | $120 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 126.6 | $0.940 | $119 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.480 | $40 | 10d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 50.52 | $0.416 | $21 | 10d ago |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 59.68 | $0.620 | $37 | 10d ago |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | 10d ago |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 64.91 | $0.909 | $59 | 10d ago |
 Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 123.33 | $0.811 | $100 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.83 | $0.762 | $25 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 213.34 | $0.867 | $185 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 96.77 | $0.930 | $90 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.440 | $50 | 10d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 215.05 | $0.930 | $200 | 12d ago |
 SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 136.32 | $0.939 | $128 | 13d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 175 | $0.240 | $42 | 13d ago |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.40 and $0.45 on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 141.34 | $0.941 | $133 | 13d ago |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026?No | buy | 75.71 | $0.700 | $53 | 13d ago |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.38 | $0.118 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 129.83 | $0.770 | $100 | 13d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.62 | $0.319 | $12 | 13d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 96.77 | $0.310 | $30 | 13d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 98.37 | $0.508 | $50 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.83 | $0.929 | $50 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 134.74 | $0.950 | $128 | 13d ago |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | 14d ago |