Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 25.06K | $0.201 | $4.76K | -$267.72 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 11.3K |
| $0.426 |
| $3.33K |
| -$1.48K |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 3.44K | $0.392 | $3.03K | +$1.68K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.540 | $1.34K | -$12.5 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.95K | $0.088 | $1.3K | +$687.12 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | Yes | 8.25K | $0.090 | $1.1K | +$356.9 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 33.8K | $0.024 | $878.84 | +$67.64 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.050 | $835 | +$339.08 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 4.47K | $0.237 | $782.26 | -$277.26 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.95K | $0.047 | $639.15 | +$77.66 |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.97K | $0.298 | $581.63 | -$5.41 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | No | 3.8K | $0.188 | $550.42 | -$162.1 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 14.14K | $0.067 | $544.44 | -$398.49 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 995.08 | $0.150 | $522.42 | +$373.15 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9K | $0.110 | $495 | -$495 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1.13K | $0.330 | $458.29 | +$84.87 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | Yes | 6.1K | $0.155 | $396.25 | -$548.96 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 2.14K | $0.146 | $384.26 | +$72.01 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10K | $0.014 | $345 | +$205.01 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 4.74K | $0.133 | $308.07 | -$323.48 |
 Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.22K | $0.115 | $297.97 | +$157.54 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 3.57K | $0.513 | $267.74 | -$1.57K |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 12.77K | $0.046 | $236.24 | -$350.42 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | Yes | 3.24K | $0.060 | $188.03 | -$6.48 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 276.32 | $0.520 | $169.94 | +$26.25 |
| buy |
| 16.75 |
| $0.440 |
| $7.37 |
| 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.460 | $2.3K | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.450 | $496.17 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.430 | $883.16 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.145 | $262.12 | 2d ago |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.115 | $126.78 | 2d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.270 | $43.2 | 2d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.247 | $255 | 2d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.230 | $29.9 | 2d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.330 | $373.42 | 2d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.95K | $0.047 | $561.49 | 2d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 423.77 | $0.128 | $54.09 | 12d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 370.77 | $0.144 | $53.45 | 12d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 2.6K | $0.440 | $1.14K | 18d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 345.08 | $0.039 | $13.33 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 441.58 | $0.470 | $207.57 | 18d ago |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 34.19 | $0.440 | $15.04 | 20d ago |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 33.8K | $0.024 | $811.23 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.59K | $0.014 | $64.32 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | sell | 21.76K | $0.360 | $7.83K | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | sell | 621.69 | $0.820 | $509.79 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 876.37 | $0.423 | $371.11 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | sell | 373.04 | $0.080 | $29.84 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | sell | 339.54 | $0.770 | $261.45 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 12.83K | $0.110 | $1.41K | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.170 | $364.8 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.85K | $0.180 | $333.41 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.56K | $0.180 | $1K | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.62K | $0.581 | $1.53K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 874.99 | $0.581 | $508.37 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?No | buy | 5K | $0.100 | $500 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Yes | buy | 374.5 | $0.294 | $110.27 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.110 | $990 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | buy | 979.37 | $0.677 | $662.93 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 13K | $0.088 | $1.14K | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.088 | $88 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.087 | $92.82 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 7.32K | $0.930 | $6.81K | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under | buy | 800 | $0.320 | $256 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.023 | $575 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 955.79 | $0.570 | $544.8 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under | buy | 98.91 | $0.310 | $30.66 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.171 | $489.58 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.290 | $390.92 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 12.68K | $0.130 | $1.65K | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?Yes | buy | 259.69 | $0.098 | $25.45 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.145 | $215.98 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 226.2 | $0.400 | $90.48 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.303 | $365.62 | Jul 5, 2026 |