Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.930 | $1.91K | +$50 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 300 | $0.600 | $180 | 14m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2K |
| $0.534 |
| $1.89K |
| +$827.01 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.847 | $1.66K | -$31 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 2K | $0.700 | $1.39K | -$10 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | Yes | 4K | $0.408 | $1.38K | -$253.73 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 2.17K | $0.450 | $1.14K | +$162.78 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 2K | $0.465 | $1.07K | +$140 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 3K | $0.315 | $960 | +$15.39 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 1.17K | $0.737 | $951.96 | +$90.52 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 999.99 | $0.650 | $946.49 | +$296.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.480 | $935 | +$455 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2K | $0.400 | $917 | +$117 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 7K | $0.117 | $910 | +$94.03 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 2K | $0.402 | $869.99 | +$66.71 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 6K | $0.160 | $869.98 | -$90 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 1K | $0.820 | $835 | +$15 |
 Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? | No | 800 | $0.840 | $778.8 | +$106.8 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.93K | $0.187 | $740.69 | -$365.37 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1K | $0.740 | $725 | -$15 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 1K | $0.590 | $705 | +$115 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.410 | $545 | +$135 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.310 | $495 | +$185 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 2.82K | $0.220 | $367.11 | -$254.16 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.180 | $290.01 | -$70 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 300 | $0.600 | $208.5 | +$28.5 |
| buy |
| 692 |
| $0.110 |
| $76.12 |
| 15m ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.8K | $0.093 | $259.61 | 34m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 400 | $0.170 | $68 | 34m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 71 | $0.260 | $18.46 | 47m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 101 | $0.120 | $12.12 | 47m ago |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 182.07 | $0.185 | $33.77 | 52m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 138.9 | $0.380 | $52.78 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.419 | $839.5 | 1h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 153.73 | $0.320 | $49.19 | 19h ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 74.46 | $0.180 | $13.4 | 19h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.132 | $170.97 | 19h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | sell | 798.92 | $0.145 | $116.17 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.416 | $631.89 | 16d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.200 | $585.08 | 16d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 46.47 | $0.320 | $14.87 | 16d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.379 | $379.3 | 16d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.380 | $380 | 16d ago |
 Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTEAM VISION | buy | 10.68 | $0.600 | $6.41 | 17d ago |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTEAM VISION | buy | 400 | $0.590 | $236 | 17d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?No | buy | 182.63 | $0.319 | $58.31 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?No | buy | 1K | $0.310 | $309.66 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-07-18? AND Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-18? | buy | 46.86 | $0.205 | $9.61 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 182.34 | $0.670 | $122.17 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.130 | $130 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 999.99 | $0.547 | $547.14 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.129 | $1.29K | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 15.3 | $0.324 | $4.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes | buy | 38.31 | $0.485 | $18.59 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 4.52K | $0.081 | $366.66 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.475 | $475 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.300 | $1.2K | Jun 17, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 128.27 | $0.200 | $25.65 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 659.25 | $0.630 | $415.33 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No | sell | 481.95 | $0.790 | $380.74 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 619.43 | $0.076 | $46.94 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.176 | $87.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No | buy | 573 | $0.578 | $331.19 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.612 | $656.37 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)No | buy | 147.86 | $0.387 | $57.17 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)No | buy | 49.99 | $0.320 | $16 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)No | buy | 400 | $0.349 | $139.42 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.100 | $104.55 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)No | buy | 1.05K | $0.327 | $345.28 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 4K | $0.999 | $4K | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.048 | $47.99 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 36.96 | $0.719 | $26.59 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 8.58 | $0.410 | $3.52 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.587 | $352.48 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | sell | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | May 16, 2026 |