Analytics
Yes is at 0.6%, down 62 points from 62.5% when the market opened on 20 Aug 2026.
Across the 65 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81.5% on 23 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.3%; a month before, 12.6%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 33% on 25 Aug 2026.
$295.69 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.07M since listing. The order book holds $14.39K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $697.84 bought Yes and $77.01K bought No; the largest was a $19.46K buy of No at 98.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Crypto.king. with 80K shares; the largest No position is VladimirPooper with 68.5K. Ten wallets hold 68% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 9:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 20 Aug 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 62.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 0.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crypto.king. | Yes | 80K |
| VladimirPooper | No | 68.53K |
| Deni13 | Yes | 34.97K |
Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kanye-west-performs-in-russia-by-october-31
| elmcap2 |
| No |
| 30.42K |
| pookyisback | Yes | 17.92K |
| Vitaaalya | No | 10K |
| Attack-Titan | No | 9.9K |
| hopedieslast | No | 8.95K |
| realredbot | Yes | 6.59K |
| BIC05 | Yes | 5.92K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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