Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Across the 303 daily closes on record from 20 Nov 2025 to 21 Oct 2026 (33 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 82.5% on 20 Nov 2025 and the lowest 7.5% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10%; a month before, 15.5%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 74% on 12 May 2026.

It is one of 3 markets under “Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?”.

$184.56K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.65K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.94K bought Yes and $12.07K bought No; the largest was a $6.72K sell of No at 89.0¢.

The largest Yes position is hitjnn214 with 41.6K shares; the largest No position is elmcap2 with 17.1K. Ten wallets hold 85.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.