Analytics
Yes is at 4%, down 33 points from 37% when the market opened on 19 Nov 2025.
Across the 314 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 37% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 3.2% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.6%; a month before, 3.8%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 20% on 31 Jan 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$1.09K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $155.37K since listing. The order book holds $29.57K, with a 0.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.82K bought Yes and $14.63K bought No; the largest was a $6.11K buy of No at 94.3¢.
The largest Yes position is Capital-Endoderm with 10.5K shares; the largest No position is elmcap2 with 14.9K. Ten wallets hold 70.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 314 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 37.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elmcap2 | No | 14.88K |
| Capital-Endoderm | Yes | 10.48K |
| Made-Up-Hostess-Ramen | Yes | 8.31K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
15 more markets, none above 4.3%.
| bernardbulletin | Yes | 7.43K |
| Anjun | No | 7.03K |
| Minty-Vane | No | 5.4K |
| Keen Oracle 60E1 | No | 2.6K |
| outcomes | Yes | 2.5K |
| highlows | No | 2.5K |
| moneymakingmachine | Yes | 2.36K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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