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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.250 | $450 | -$50 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.59K | $0.086 | $221.9 | 18h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 5K |
| $0.079 |
| $275 |
| -$119.99 |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.086 | $187.5 | -$26.41 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.255 | $157.5 | -$225 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 2K | $0.150 | $151 | -$149 |
 Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? | No | 135.36 | $0.761 | $123.92 | +$20.94 |
 Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 60.97K | $0.004 | $91.45 | -$165.03 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.057 | $90 | -$52.5 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 3.64K | $0.024 | $63.72 | -$24.98 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 250 | $0.230 | $58.75 | +$1.25 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 1K | $0.200 | $45 | -$155 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026? | Yes | 1.79K | $0.047 | $42.1 | -$42.03 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | Yes | 499.67 | $0.090 | $27.48 | -$17.49 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 250 | $0.150 | $22.5 | -$15 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 50.43 | $0.302 | $9.83 | -$5.42 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027? | Yes | 24.45 | $0.050 | $1.96 | +$0.73 |
| sell |
| 435.11 |
| $0.337 |
| $146.74 |
| 7d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | sell | 394.65 | $0.375 | $147.99 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | buy | 890.08 | $0.300 | $267.16 | 7d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.26K | $0.012 | $63.12 | 10d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on August 27, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 15d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 27, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | 15d ago |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?No | buy | 59.84 | $0.812 | $48.58 | 19d ago |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?No | buy | 75.52 | $0.720 | $54.4 | 20d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 19, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.445 | $4.45 | 21d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 19, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 21d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.070 | $140 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 800 | $0.417 | $333.54 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.453 | $90.55 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.350 | $175 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 85.41 | $0.223 | $19.03 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 48.72 | $0.142 | $6.92 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 701.26 | $0.153 | $107.03 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.149 | $37.37 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.302 | $90.6 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.64K | $0.024 | $88.7 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.047 | $84.12 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.022 | $57.83 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.220 | $165 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.150 | $37.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.100 | $8.7 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.100 | $3.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.861 | $430.51 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.142 | $141.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.188 | $187.7 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.200 | $200 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.110 | $3.19 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.090 | $3.42 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?Yes | buy | 598.33 | $0.030 | $17.95 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.495 | $247.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.013 | $19.5 | May 31, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.016 | $24 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.130 | $130 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | buy | 387.68 | $0.280 | $108.55 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?Yes | buy | 511.98 | $0.220 | $112.64 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 622.68 | $0.288 | $179.6 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 135.55 | $0.279 | $37.76 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?No | sell | 192.5 | $0.040 | $7.6 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?No | sell | 6.65 | $0.870 | $5.79 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?No | buy | 225 | $0.096 | $21.55 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?Yes | buy | 32.5 | $0.886 | $28.8 | May 13, 2026 |