Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 285.17K | $0.742 | $266.63K | +$55.04K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.310 | $1.24K | 3h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 193.34K |
| $0.516 |
| $103.44K |
| +$3.6K |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 74.14K | $0.905 | $71.88K | +$4.8K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 63.13K | $0.410 | $28.72K | +$2.8K |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 27.16K | $0.827 | $25.39K | +$2.92K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 45.02K | $0.500 | $24.53K | +$2.03K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 14K | $0.300 | $4.27K | +$69.89 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5.12K | $0.484 | $2.58K | +$104.55 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 36.83K | $0.375 | $2.03K | -$11.8K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.51K | $0.930 | $1.32K | -$83.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.16K | $0.910 | $1.13K | +$69.36 |
 Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 161.92 | $0.651 | $51.49 | -$54.01 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 9.64 | $0.150 | $1.3 | -$0.14 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 0.68 | $0.729 | $0.58 | +$0.09 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 0.51 | $0.200 | $0.07 | -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 30K |
| $0.520 |
| $15.6K |
| 3h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.510 | $2.55K | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.296 | $2.96K | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 94.98K | $0.500 | $47.49K | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 45.02K | $0.500 | $22.51K | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.420 | $4.2K | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.410 | $20.5K | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 107.74K | $0.410 | $44.17K | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.25K | $0.410 | $5.02K | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 63.78K | $0.590 | $37.63K | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 36.22K | $0.583 | $21.11K | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 40.83K | $0.500 | $20.42K | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 39.38K | $0.500 | $19.69K | 11d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.930 | $1.4K | 12d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.098 | $197.43 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 60.9K | $0.756 | $46.06K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.32K | $0.756 | $13.09K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.42K | $0.745 | $39.03K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.75K | $0.747 | $11.76K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 82.78K | $0.746 | $61.76K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.28K | $0.749 | $10.69K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.1K | $0.744 | $52.91K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.93K | $0.742 | $3.66K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250K | $0.735 | $183.75K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250K | $0.735 | $183.75K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.235 | $352.33 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.5K | $0.240 | $4.44K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 68.63K | $0.249 | $17.11K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.37K | $0.248 | $2.82K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50K | $0.230 | $11.49K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 500K | $0.185 | $92.49K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200K | $0.190 | $37.95K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 195.47K | $0.216 | $42.22K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.268 | $26.8K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.269 | $26.85K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50K | $0.269 | $13.44K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.270 | $13.49K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 99.99K | $0.264 | $26.4K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100K | $0.267 | $26.74K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.265 | $26.52K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.19K | $0.189 | $3.25K | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.52K | $0.230 | $1.73K | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 279.33K | $0.200 | $55.87K | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.33K | $0.930 | $18.91K | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 84.22K | $0.933 | $78.56K | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 84.22K | $0.829 | $69.78K | Jul 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.66K | $0.090 | $599.03 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway | buy | 142.45K | $0.710 | $101.14K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.04K | $0.130 | $5.98K | Jul 10, 2026 |