Analytics
Yes is at 3%, down 4.5 points from 7.5% when the market opened on 7 Jan 2026.
Across the 268 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 12% on 20 Jan 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 11 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.2%; a month before, 2.8%.
It is one of 2 markets under “New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?”.
$102.68 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.16M since listing. The order book holds $82.24K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $112.79 bought Yes and $33.32K bought No; the largest was a $8.24K buy of No at 98.1¢.
The largest Yes position is Foolhardy-Rail with 158.2K shares; the largest No position is elmcap2 with 124.1K. Ten wallets hold 88.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 268 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 7.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 3.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Foolhardy-Rail | Yes | 158.23K |
| elmcap2 | No | 124.13K |
| Outgoing-Paste | Yes | 104.06K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series. If Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-stranger-things-episode-released-by-wednesday
| Macks22 |
| No |
| 58.88K |
| poorersob | No | 32.62K |
| bullmarketvibes | No | 17.21K |
| pemul1s | No | 16.87K |
| barcaa | No | 9.69K |
| Another-Allowance | No | 8.79K |
| whodet | No | 8.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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