Analytics
Yes is at 1.2%, down 13 points from 14.5% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 22 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 19.5% on 5 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.5%. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 7.5% on 8 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in October?”.
$22.31K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $326.55K since listing. The order book holds $87.44K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.89K bought Yes and $59.06K bought No; the largest was a $11.1K buy of No at 92.0¢.
The largest Yes position is tsihkodiives with 33.3K shares; the largest No position is Serene-Decision with 23.6K. Ten wallets hold 65.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 12:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 1.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tsihkodiives | Yes | 33.33K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 24.6K |
| Serene-Decision | No | 23.6K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-october-2026
7 more markets, none above 1.1%.
| pilimili | No | 19.86K |
| Ivory Pulse 1185 | Yes | 14.13K |
| 24508 | Yes | 12.07K |
| justdance | No | 11.27K |
| Avamax | No | 8.25K |
| afdafdafdafdafd | No | 7.1K |
| Facaie | No | 6.92K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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