Analytics
Yes is at 30.5%, up 7.5 points from 23% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
The high was 32.5% on 9 Oct 2026 and the low 17.5% on 5 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 25.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 28.5% on 13 Oct 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in October?”.
$27.85K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $274.31K since listing. The order book holds $68.34K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $7.83K bought Yes and $21.88K bought No; the largest was a $8.2K buy of No at 82.0¢.
The largest Yes position is AllByMyseIf with 32.2K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 43.4K. Ten wallets hold 59.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 17 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 15, 7:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 15 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 23.0% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 30.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 43.44K |
| AllByMyseIf | Yes | 32.24K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 15.21K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-october-2026
8 more markets, none above 3.3%.
| Rude-Condor | Yes | 15K |
| justdance | No | 11.11K |
| fish8975344 | Yes | 10K |
| KongX | Yes | 10K |
| shizzle99 | No | 7.33K |
| bbpro1 | Yes | 7K |
| pizdi.bolyu | Yes | 5.74K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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